Showing posts with label rate cut. Show all posts
Showing posts with label rate cut. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 18, 2007

A ray of sun for borrowers and investors.


The long awaited Fed decision arrived with a bang! The Fed surprised many economists and traders with a half percent cut in both the Fed Funds and Discount Rates. Stocks soared higher and enjoyed their largest gain since 2003.
What does the Fed cut mean? Rates on consumer debt, car loans, and Home Equity lines will all benefit. But because Home Loan rates are tied more closely to inflation, it is not uncommon to see less of a reaction...or even an opposite reaction in mortgage rates.
The Fed cut also hurts rates of return on investments, which gives foreign investors less incentive to invest in US securities. This has sent the Dollar much lower against the currency of most major foreign countries. This makes foreign goods more expensive for us to buy, which adds to inflation pressures.
Overall, the Fed cut is good news for the economy, but may nudge inflation a bit higher long term. In the short run, we have seen an improvement in mortgage rates for prime credit borrowers especially within the jumbo and super jumbo market.

Friday, September 14, 2007

Waiting for the FED meeting on Tuesday?


Investors, clients and borrowers in general are looking forward to the FED meeting on Tuesday for a rate cut. The market has priced in a 50bps reduction. Any less and we could see major declines in stock markets. I would think that the FED will cut only 25bps. I think we can gather the overall thinking in these two quotes:
"It's not the government's job to bail out speculators, or those who made the decision to buy a home they knew they could never afford." - President Bush
"It is not the responsibility of the Federal Reserve--nor would it be appropriate--to protect lenders and investors from the consequences of their financial decisions."- Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke
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